Nixu Threat Intelligence has become aware of a warning by Ukraine's defense intelligence agency saying that Kremlin-backed hackers are planning to carry out massive cyberattacks on the country's critical infrastructure – targeting especially the energy sector. Furthermore, the agency estimates that the Kremlin intends to increase the intensity of DDoS attacks on the critical infrastructure of Ukraine's closest allies, particularly Poland and the Baltic countries.
Location: Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic states.
Risk: Energy supply disruptions
We assess with moderate confidence that it is likely that Russian hackers will attempt to increase their activity against the energy sector – particularly during the winter period and also elsewhere in Europe beyond Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic countries. Such activity is propelled by Moscow's attempt to break European resolve to back up Ukraine while at the same time attempting to strengthen its positions on the ground in Ukraine with the ongoing mobilization.